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Wednesday, April 7, 2010 as of 11:14 AM ET

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  • Where, oh where are the hurricanes?

    I’ve had this question asked to me a lot over the last few days:

    “Where on earth are the hurricanes?”

    Typically around this time of year, we’ve had at least one…so this is a rarity.    The 2013 season has had 6 named tropical storms (winds of at least 39 mph), but no hurricanes (winds of at least 74 mph). 

    The latest first hurricane (with satellite imagery) was Hurricane Gustav back on September 11 2002, so if we don’t have a hurricane in the next week or so, this could be a record breaking year.

    There have been several factors as to why we haven’t had one storms with 74 mph or greater, but dry air and wind shear (winds at different altitudes blowing at different speeds/directions) have been part of the problem for systems trying to get their act together. 

    August 10th is when we usually see the first Atlantic hurricane, but just because we haven’t seen one develop yet doesn’t mean we won’t see one in the near future.  Every “slow” starting year has had MULTIPLE hurricanes form and even strike the U.S.

    On average, we see six hurricanes each season.  And it takes just *one* hurricane to make it an active year.  Last year Hurricane Sandy made landfall at the end of October.    Hurricane Andrew was the first NAMED storm and first HURRICANE of the season.  It made landfall in late August and was one of only three Category 5 storms to hit the U.S.

    Just because this is a late start to the season, history shows us it is not a sign the rest of the year will be quiet.   Back in 2002 when we had the latest start to hurricane season,   Hurricane Lili reached Category 4 status in late September, killed over a dozen people and  caused  860 million dollars in damage in the Caribbean and Louisiana.

    Right now, we’re into the peak of hurricane season.  

    Typically we see 61 % of ALL named storms from now through the end of the season (November 30th) We have plenty of warm water to fuel any storms that form, and as of this date, we are watching 3 separate areas for potential development:

    Watching the computer models, multiple models are showing development of a hurricane mid September, and conditions are becoming more “favorable” for development:

    The bottom line is we are not done with hurricane season yet, and now is not the time to let your guard down.  If you live anywhere across the Coastal U.S., you need to be very aware of what’s happening in the tropics, and have a plan already in places if and when a storm is on its way.

    If you live in the path of a potential storm or hurricane, here’s a few links to help you prepare in advance:

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/prepare/ready.php

    http://www.redcross.org/prepare/disaster/hurricane

    http://www.ready.gov/hurricanes

    And I’ll make sure you’re the first to know if and when a hurricane is on the horizon!

    JD

Margie Gacki

Jeanne, I'm sorry to hear that you've been ill. I hope you're feeling better now. I will keep you in my prayers. I'm glad you were able to reach the site. I haven't had any problems getting on the site so it must be a sporadic problem. The Internet is great when it cooperates but it can be a pain in the neck sometimes! Take care, Margie

September 5, 2013 at 6:27 pm

Jeanne Staines

I have very ill and haven't been able to pull up this site. I thought it was just me!

September 5, 2013 at 4:38 pm

Margie Gacki

OK, let's see if my post from this morning shows up when I send this one. This blog can be a pain sometimes! I hope everyone is having a great day!

September 5, 2013 at 3:31 pm

Margie Gacki

Hey Dan, I'm glad you were finally able to post on the blog. I haven't had any trouble accessing the blog but sometimes the threads expire and I can't post a comment. That's the only issue I've had. I'm glad you've been enjoying your weather. We've had a beautiful week in Western Maryland. Hey to everyone else out there. I hope everyone is having a great week. Take care, everyone! Margie

September 5, 2013 at 8:13 am

Sonoma Dan

Sorry that it's been so long since I posted, but I have a lot of trouble accessing this site. I frequently get a message that it's not accessible. Just curious if anyone else has a similar issue? Weather is gorgeous here, but quite warm in Northern California - at any rate, it sure beats the weather that I left when I retired here from Columbus, OH!!! Janice, you've become a media hit - meteorologist, book author and dancer! Hope that all the regulars are doing well - Sonoma Dan

September 4, 2013 at 8:24 pm

Margie Gacki

Hey Sam! Glad your posts showed up. I don't know what happens that the posts get hung up, but as you found out, if you post something else, very often the first one pops up. Go figure! Hey to everyone else out there. It was a beautiful day in Western Maryland today. Beautiful sunshine with highs in the low 80's. Can't ask for anything better! Have a good evening, everyone. Margie

September 4, 2013 at 8:16 pm

wasam

OK, another post of mine disappeared. I think if this one goes thru, the other one will pop up too. Weird!

September 4, 2013 at 6:46 pm

wasam

I watched a weather show the other night and the guy said the storms in the Atlantic will be late this year. The Pacific Ocean has or is cooling rapidly, the moisture content in the middle(?) atmosphere has decreased about half, and the Atlantic area will be the offsetting force to balance things out. He indicated that the trend is moving almost opposite of what was expected. Who really knows?

September 4, 2013 at 5:51 pm

Fred Gage

FYI, November has 30 days.

September 3, 2013 at 10:15 pm

about this blog

  • Janice Dean joined FOX News Channel in January 2004 and currently serves as Senior meteorologist. She is a member of the American Meteorological Society and was awarded the AMS Seal of Approval in 2009. Dean is the author of the forthcoming children's book, "Freddy the Frogcaster" (Regnery Kids) which will be published in August. You can also follow Janice on Twitter.