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Wednesday, April 7, 2010 as of 11:14 AM ET

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FOX News Weather Blog
  • Hurricane Irma will be potentially catastrophic for Florida

    Hurricane Irma has weakened slightly and is now a high-end Category 4 hurricane with 155mph sustained winds, but remains extremely dangerous.

    Irma will move through the Bahamas through tomorrow on its approach to South Florida.

    Unfortunately, a direct hit on South Florida appears more and more likely.  The worst-case scenario for Miami would be for Irma’s eye to make landfall, then track to the west of Miami-Dade.  They would then receive the brunt of the hurricane’s wind and storm surge.

    Storm surge warnings are in effect from Jupiter Inlet to the Keys as a surge of 5-10 feet is likely, with wave action on top of that.  High tide will further increase water rise.    There is still a chance the eye could travel just offshore either side of the Florida peninsula, which is reflected in the NHC’s official cone, but this likely won’t be completely apparent until Irma’s turn northward is complete on Saturday.

    Irma’s hurricane force winds currently extend 70 miles from the eye and tropical storm force winds 185 miles from the eye, so impacts will be widespread.   A track directly over the Florida peninsula and northward into Georgia would bring more wind and rain impacts to cities including Tampa and Orlando, while lessening wind impacts for South Carolina.

    Even Atlanta will see rain and possibly tropical storm-force winds Monday night-Tuesday morning. The Southeast will see heavy rain in excess of 12″ in some locations.

    Meanwhile, in the Central Atlantic Jose has remains a Category 3 hurricane and will move near the Leeward Islands, including Barbuda and St. Martin on Saturday, likely still as a Category 3 hurricane.  The track for Jose continues northward from there, likely curling back to the east by the middle of next week.

    In the Bay of Campeche, Hurricane Katia is still forecast to move slowly toward the coast of Mexico and make landfall late tonight, with no U.S. impacts.

    We will continue to keep you updated on Irma through the weekend.  Be safe everyone.


Ruth Goldstein

I worry for the key deer, and the bird refuge in the keys, and maybe a just little for the alligators in the everglades, but Hermann's Royal Lipizzan Stallions ranch is in the direct path of the eye of Irma. Any word if the horses are relocated?

September 9, 2017 at 2:24 am

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  • Janice Dean joined FOX News Channel in January 2004 and currently serves as Senior meteorologist. She is a member of the American Meteorological Society and was awarded the AMS Seal of Approval in 2009. Dean is the author of the forthcoming children's book, "Freddy the Frogcaster" (Regnery Kids) which will be published in August. You can also follow Janice on Twitter.